Bihar bypolls - Key points :

In the desperation to stop BJP,or it may be said in the fear of progress in popularity of Shri Narendra Modi Nitish joined hand with his Rivals RJD & Congress. Nitish got the mandate in the last assembly election against both of his allies. But the result describes differently.It shows from No. 1 party in Bihar JDU slipped to No. 3 party. God knows how many seats Lalu & Nitish would keep for themselves in the coming election & how Congress will survive in the negotiation. In an attempt to check BJP Nitish & Congress pushed themselves in the path of destruction & made Lalu a better Hero than Zero. The alliance with leader of "Jungle Raj" which Nitish termed against RJD in last election is evident though in statistics.Altogether 6882 incident of Murders reported in Bihar in 2013. However, according to the result of by polls of 10 Assembly seats of Bihar BJP got 4 seats,RJD got 3, JD(U) got 2 & Congress got one.People wonders if Lalu will claim CM post. So as per result of 10 bypoll result party situation in Bihar Look like this.

                                                           1. Bharatiya Janat Party

2,Rashtriya Janata Dal

3.Janata Dal(United) 

4.Indian national Congress 

With the time Congress is going through it is certain Congress has no power to slap anybody with their "Hand" but knowing Nitish can shoot an "Arrow" to break the "Lantern" Bihar is keen to see that. However as a resident of Bengal it is good indication perhaps.Return of Lalu will provoke many Criminals return to Bihar from Bengal.

However Independent analysts see the result of this by election differently.

1. BJP won all three seats in which it was trailing during LS polls.BJP could retain only one of seven seats in which it was leading during LS polls.Overall, it was random trend with little correlation with LS elections.But losing stronghold like Bhagalpur is a setback for BJP.

2.Polling percentage was 10-12% less than LS polls. People were less enthusiastic as these polls were not going to impact them.In general, BJP performs better in high percentage elections. Results can definitely be different in an serious election.

3.The result will create fear of "Return of Lalu" which is sufficient for high voting among pro-development masses in favour of BJP. This result also bring BJP workers and supporters out of comfort zone. This will have same impact as victory of AAP in 28 Delhi seats had.This result will also force JDU & RJD to remain together.. which will father benefit BJP.

4. Generally, bypolls results don’t have much to with final elections. In 2009, LS elections, BJP+JDU had won 32/40 seats. But could win only 5/18 assembly seats in bypoll after LS. And in Assembly polls, BJP+JDU came back with 3/4 majority.

5.BJP is still in good position in Bihar and should work hard rather than accepting that they have been defeated. It was neck-to-neck competition and not one-sided as projected by media.

We would like to know your comments regarding the above assessment.

Bandemataram